When it comes to betting on horse racing, you can either throw your money away by picking a horse with a name you fancy or actually investigate the factors that determine winners year after year. Believe it or not, there are critical factors regarding all of the horses that enter the field at the Grand National that establish trends that bettors need to know when placing bets on race day.
Britbets.com has already provided bettors with statistical proof that the breeding, training, and past performances of horses have played a major role in the winning trends at Aintree. However, like the rest of life it is never as simple as just a few factors when analyzing trends. Before placing your bets on the 2014 Grand National, be sure to think about the following factors.
Age of National Winner
The track at Aintree is nothing short of physically demanding. Not only does it test the physical strength of each horse involved, but at 4 miles 3 ½ furlongs in length, the track also tests the endurance of every horse in the field. While this might seem to favor younger horses, it has already been shown that a lack of experience is detrimental at Aintree.
By the same token, older horses are not often crowned winners at Aintree because of the physical demands of the Grand National. During the last 68 years there has not been a winner at the Grand National under the age of 8 years old. By contrast, it has been 85 years since the last winner at Aintree was a horse above the age of 12.
This factor allows you as the bettor to narrow down your choices to horses between the ages of 8 and 12. An additional fun fact: during the last 22 years there has been just two winners aged 8 years old at Aintree. This would allow bettors to narrow the age group down to 9 to 12 year olds.
Weight of National Winner
Given the extreme physical demands and length of the course at Aintree, it is not surprise that the less weight a horse is carrying the greater the odds are they can race to victory. Since World War II, only two horses have won the Grand National while carrying more than 11stone 5lb. The two horses that achieved this feat were the legendary Red Rum and last year’s long shot winner Neptune Collonges, both of whom were carrying 11st6lb.
All of the horses entering the field at the Grand National are given a handicap rating. In part, these handicap ratings are used to narrow down the field ahead of race day when too many horses are still in the running. For example, this year there are still 73 horses slated to run at Aintree. However, for safety reasons only 40 horses are allowed to run the race. Therefore, horses below a given handicap rating are usually scratched from the list to narrow down the field.
History has shown that horses rated at or above 139 in the handicap ratings stand a better chance of winning. Of the last 22 winners at the Grand National, 21 of those winners have had a handicap above 139. Even one of the Grand National’s longest odds winners of all time, 2009’s Mon Mome at 100/1, had a handicap rating of 148.
In addition to looking at a horse’s previous race experience, both in the circuit before the Grand National and in previous Grand Nationals, bettors should be looking at the physical attributes of each horse before placing final bets on the race at Aintree. Check out the 2014 Grand National betting Odds. Most of the bookmakers featured offer new Customers free bets in the case of Bet365 it is up to £200