Crabbie’s Grand National Festival – Grand National
Four of the last ten Grand National winners have won at odds of above 20/1, including the breathtaking performance of Auroras Encore who won under the ride of Ryan Mania 12 months ago.
Grand National Outsider Betting
Big Shu has been an exceptional cross-country performer in recent years and finished third at Cheltenham last month in the Cross Country race which Balthazar King won. Ladbrokes offer the best price of 25/1 for Peter Maher’s entry who jumps and stays well and should be respected.
There has been money for Shakalakaboomboom who failed to stay the distance in this two years ago and has been slightly disappointing since reappearing. He is now 25/1 with most leading firms, after being 33/1 during the week.
Mr Moonshine is of obvious interest to many as he is the ride of last year’s winning trainer/jockey partnership Sue Smith and Ryan Mania. No trainer/jockey partnership has ever won the race two years running with two different horses, so history can be made. He finished third in the Becher at Aintree in December and always jumps well. There is no reason why he won’t improve further for this and at 33/1 with Bet Victor, represents decent value. Whether he can make history or not is unknown, however he is fancied.
Aidan Coleman is yet to win the Grand National, however he has a very good chance this year aboard Kim Bailey’s The Rainbow Hunter. He is currently 40/1 with Boylesports although some firms have him as short as 20/1. The 10-year-old unseated early on in the race last year but has undergone a wind operation since and is expected to go very well.
Alvarado is Fergal O’Brien’s entry this time round and he ran the best race of his career when winning over three miles and three furlongs at Cheltenham in November. He is likely to improve and the ground should suit. At 40/1 in places, he is a great each-way shout.
Mountainous and Hawkes Point are two more entries at 40/1 that both warrant respect for the top 5/6 places. The former can stay and won the Welsh National in December. Jamie Moore is booked so he is another with place value; however his latest run is slightly off-putting. The latter finished second in the Welsh National behind Mountainous and had a hard race last time.
Two of the outsiders at the longest odds that still make appeal for me are Hunt Ball for Nicky Henderson and Rose Of The Moon for David O’Meara. The first mentioned won seven races two winters ago and has run well for his new yard. The latter can certainly stay and was back to his best when winning at Wetherby last time out. Coral offer a tempting price of 80/1 for O’Meara’s outsider.
BETS OF THE DAY:
THE RAINBOW HUNTER @ 40/1 with Boylesports
MR MOONSHINE @ 33/1 with Bet365
ROSE OF THE MOON @ 80/1 with Coral